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A Critical Review of Opinion Polls relating to Iranian Voting Intentions: Problems of Research Methodology as applied to Complex Societies
https://doi.org/10.20561/00037935
https://doi.org/10.20561/000379352b008da2-93c2-4db7-bee5-3891e73475f6
名前 / ファイル | ライセンス | アクション |
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本文 (61.6 kB)
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Item type | アジ研テクニカルレポート / IDE Technical Report(1) | |||||
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公開日 | 2010-04-05 | |||||
タイトル | ||||||
タイトル | A Critical Review of Opinion Polls relating to Iranian Voting Intentions: Problems of Research Methodology as applied to Complex Societies | |||||
言語 | ||||||
言語 | eng | |||||
資源タイプ | ||||||
資源タイプ識別子 | http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_18gh | |||||
資源タイプ | technical report | |||||
ID登録 | ||||||
ID登録 | 10.20561/00037935 | |||||
ID登録タイプ | JaLC | |||||
著者 |
Suzuki, Hitoshi
× Suzuki, Hitoshi |
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著者別名 | ||||||
値 | 鈴木, 均 | |||||
抄録 | ||||||
内容記述タイプ | Abstract | |||||
内容記述 | After the 10th Iranian Presidential election on June 12, 2009, several public opinion polls taken in Iran attracted the attention of policy-makers and journalists around the world because of the political crisis that followed. In this paper I first review critically the polls conducted by the WPO (WorldPublicOpinion.org), PIPA (Program on International Policy Attitudes) at the University of Maryland. I also review an essay by Steven Kull, which is based on the aforementioned poll results and which in my opinion leads to false conclusions concerning Iran’s political prospects. I also discuss “An Analysis of Multiple Polls of the Iranian Public,” published by WPO-PIPA on February 3 2010. \nThe present paper arrives at the overall conclusion that it is impossible to obtain an accurate image of political opinions in societies as complicated as that of Iran by concentrating on only one technique of research and analysis, especially when the political and social situation in the society concerned is in a state of constant flux. |
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権利 | ||||||
権利情報 | Copyrights 日本貿易振興機構(ジェトロ)アジア経済研究所 / Institute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade Organization (IDE-JETRO) http://www.ide.go.jp | |||||
収録情報 |
IDE Discussion Paper en : IDE Discussion Paper 巻 231, 発行日 2010-03-01 |
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出版者 | ||||||
出版者 | Institute of Developing Economies (IDE-JETRO) | |||||
著者版フラグ | ||||||
出版タイプ | VoR | |||||
出版タイプResource | http://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85 | |||||
日本十進分類法 | ||||||
主題Scheme | NDC | |||||
主題 | 314.89272 | |||||
JEL分類 | ||||||
主題Scheme | Other | |||||
主題 | JEL: | |||||
地域/国名 | ||||||
位置情報(自由記述) | イラン | |||||
キーワード(LSH) | ||||||
主題Scheme | Other | |||||
主題 | Iran | |||||
キーワード(LSH) | ||||||
主題Scheme | Other | |||||
主題 | Elections | |||||
キーワード(LSH) | ||||||
主題Scheme | Other | |||||
主題 | Presidential Election | |||||
キーワード(LSH) | ||||||
主題Scheme | Other | |||||
主題 | Opinion Polls | |||||
キーワード(LSH) | ||||||
主題Scheme | Other | |||||
主題 | Political Crisis | |||||
フォーマット | ||||||
内容記述タイプ | Other | |||||
内容記述 | application/pdf | |||||
DIG_NO | ||||||
内容記述タイプ | Other | |||||
内容記述 | IDP000231_001 |