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Do Exports to the US Increase Imports from China during the US–China Tariff War?
https://doi.org/10.20561/0002001139
https://doi.org/10.20561/00020011397bf4dbb8-2d7e-4eb3-8681-8871ae696a1e
名前 / ファイル | ライセンス | アクション |
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Item type | アジ研テクニカルレポート / IDE Technical Report(1) | |||||||||
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公開日 | 2024-11-14 | |||||||||
タイトル | ||||||||||
タイトル | Do Exports to the US Increase Imports from China during the US–China Tariff War? | |||||||||
言語 | en | |||||||||
言語 | ||||||||||
言語 | eng | |||||||||
キーワード | ||||||||||
主題Scheme | Other | |||||||||
主題 | US–China trade war | |||||||||
キーワード | ||||||||||
主題Scheme | Other | |||||||||
主題 | Tariffs | |||||||||
キーワード | ||||||||||
主題Scheme | Other | |||||||||
主題 | Trade diversion | |||||||||
キーワード | ||||||||||
主題Scheme | Other | |||||||||
主題 | Asia | |||||||||
キーワード | ||||||||||
主題Scheme | Other | |||||||||
主題 | Imports | |||||||||
キーワード | ||||||||||
主題Scheme | Other | |||||||||
主題 | Mechanical engineering | |||||||||
資源タイプ | ||||||||||
資源タイプ識別子 | http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_18gh | |||||||||
資源タイプ | technical report | |||||||||
ID登録 | ||||||||||
ID登録 | 10.20561/0002001139 | |||||||||
ID登録タイプ | JaLC | |||||||||
著者 |
早川,和伸
× 早川,和伸
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item_14_description_3 | ||||||||||
内容記述タイプ | Abstract | |||||||||
内容記述 | This study empirically investigates whether countries enjoying trade diversion in the US market increased their imports from China during the US–China tariff war. To identify the input–output linkages in the trade statistics, we exploit the harmonized system coding structure. Using this method, we examine trade by East Asian countries, Southeast Asian countries, and Mexico in the general and electric machinery industries from January 2017 to December 2021. We regress imports of upstream products from China on exports of their downstream products to the US, which are instrumented by the US tariffs against goods from China. We found that some countries, such as Taiwan, Malaysia, and Thailand, enjoyed trade diversion effects in the US market. Among them, only Thailand increased imports of upstream products from China to produce downstream products, especially in terms of the intensive margin. Next, we demonstrate that the rise of US tariffs against goods from China increased China’s upstream exports to the world (including the US) and did not change those of downstream products significantly. These results imply that China’s total exports in the general and electric machinery industries have increased compared with the pre-tariff war period. | |||||||||
言語 | en | |||||||||
item_14_rights_5 | ||||||||||
言語 | en | |||||||||
権利情報 | Copyrights 2024 by author(s) | |||||||||
bibliographic_information |
en : IDE Discussion Paper 巻 946, 発行日 2024-11 |
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出版者 | ||||||||||
出版者 | Institute of Developing Economies (IDE-JETRO) | |||||||||
出版タイプ | ||||||||||
出版タイプ | VoR | |||||||||
出版タイプResource | http://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85 | |||||||||
JEL分類 | ||||||||||
主題Scheme | Other | |||||||||
主題 | JEL:F15 - Economic Integration | |||||||||
JEL分類 | ||||||||||
主題Scheme | Other | |||||||||
主題 | JEL:F53 - International Agreements and Observance • International Organizations | |||||||||
地域/国名 | ||||||||||
位置情報(自由記述) | Asia | |||||||||
フォーマット | ||||||||||
内容記述タイプ | Other | |||||||||
内容記述 | application/pdf | |||||||||
言語 | en | |||||||||
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内容記述タイプ | Other | |||||||||
内容記述 | IDP000946_001 |