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Global Evidence for the Relevance of Irrelevant Events: International Soccer Games and Leader Approval
https://doi.org/10.20561/0002001093
https://doi.org/10.20561/0002001093e6fc66ee-7f00-407b-a2bd-93d385c5e646
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Full-text PDF (3MB)
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Item type | アジ研テクニカルレポート / IDE Technical Report(1) | |||||||||
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公開日 | 2024-09-05 | |||||||||
タイトル | ||||||||||
タイトル | Global Evidence for the Relevance of Irrelevant Events: International Soccer Games and Leader Approval | |||||||||
言語 | en | |||||||||
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言語 | eng | |||||||||
キーワード | ||||||||||
主題Scheme | Other | |||||||||
主題 | Soccer | |||||||||
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主題Scheme | Other | |||||||||
主題 | Football | |||||||||
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主題Scheme | Other | |||||||||
主題 | Public opinion | |||||||||
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主題Scheme | Other | |||||||||
主題 | Leader approval | |||||||||
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主題Scheme | Other | |||||||||
主題 | Natural experiment | |||||||||
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主題Scheme | Other | |||||||||
主題 | World | |||||||||
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主題Scheme | Other | |||||||||
主題 | Sports | |||||||||
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資源タイプ識別子 | http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_18gh | |||||||||
資源タイプ | technical report | |||||||||
ID登録 | ||||||||||
ID登録 | 10.20561/0002001093 | |||||||||
ID登録タイプ | JaLC | |||||||||
著者 |
KIKUTA, Kyosuke
× KIKUTA, Kyosuke
× ONO, Yoshikuni
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抄録 | ||||||||||
内容記述タイプ | Abstract | |||||||||
内容記述 | Despite the intense debate over whether politically irrelevant events (e.g., football games) influence voter attitudes, the existing literature predominantly focuses on cases in the U.S. and a few developed countries, neglecting generalizability across other countries. Our study provides the first global evidence for the relevance of irrelevant events, analyzing the effects of international soccer games on leader approval in more than 100 countries from 2008 to 2023. Leveraging “double” natural experiments, comprising as-if random assignments of interview dates and soccer results conditional on betting odds, we find that lucky victories enhance public approval of national leaders by 7 percentage points, while unlucky losses lack compensating effects. The analysis of causal mechanisms suggests that soccer games serve as a benchmark for leader performance. Notably, these effects exhibit substantial cross-country variation, prompting us to consider contextual conditions across countries. | |||||||||
言語 | en | |||||||||
権利 | ||||||||||
言語 | en | |||||||||
権利情報 | Copyrights 2024 by author(s) | |||||||||
収録情報 |
en : IDE Discussion Paper 巻 942, 発行日 2024-08 |
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出版者 | ||||||||||
出版者 | Institute of Developing Economies (IDE-JETRO) | |||||||||
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出版タイプ | VoR | |||||||||
出版タイプResource | http://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85 | |||||||||
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位置情報(自由記述) | World | |||||||||
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内容記述タイプ | Other | |||||||||
内容記述 | application/pdf | |||||||||
言語 | en | |||||||||
DIG_NO | ||||||||||
内容記述タイプ | Other | |||||||||
内容記述 | IDP000942_001 |