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China’s New Growth Strategy: Implications for Middle-Income Economies
https://doi.org/10.20561/0002001022
https://doi.org/10.20561/00020010226b040a05-d204-461c-b62e-ff8a982894d4
| 名前 / ファイル | ライセンス | アクション |
|---|---|---|
Full-text PDF (1.9MB)
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| Item type | アジ研テクニカルレポート / IDE Technical Report(1) | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 公開日 | 2024-05-24 | |||||||||
| タイトル | ||||||||||
| タイトル | China’s New Growth Strategy: Implications for Middle-Income Economies | |||||||||
| 言語 | en | |||||||||
| 言語 | ||||||||||
| 言語 | eng | |||||||||
| キーワード | ||||||||||
| 主題Scheme | Other | |||||||||
| 主題 | Southeast Asia | |||||||||
| キーワード | ||||||||||
| 主題Scheme | Other | |||||||||
| 主題 | China | |||||||||
| キーワード | ||||||||||
| 主題Scheme | Other | |||||||||
| 主題 | Industrial policy | |||||||||
| キーワード | ||||||||||
| 主題Scheme | Other | |||||||||
| 主題 | International trade | |||||||||
| キーワード | ||||||||||
| 主題Scheme | Other | |||||||||
| 主題 | Comparative advantage | |||||||||
| キーワード | ||||||||||
| 主題Scheme | Other | |||||||||
| 主題 | skills | |||||||||
| キーワード | ||||||||||
| 主題Scheme | Other | |||||||||
| 主題 | general equilibrium | |||||||||
| キーワード | ||||||||||
| 主題Scheme | Other | |||||||||
| 主題 | skill premium | |||||||||
| 資源タイプ | ||||||||||
| 資源タイプ識別子 | http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_18gh | |||||||||
| 資源タイプ | technical report | |||||||||
| ID登録 | ||||||||||
| ID登録 | 10.20561/0002001022 | |||||||||
| ID登録タイプ | JaLC | |||||||||
| 著者 |
Kitayaporn,Varan
× Kitayaporn,Varan
× Coxhead,Ian
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| 抄録 | ||||||||||
| 内容記述タイプ | Abstract | |||||||||
| 内容記述 | Acquiring human capital and climbing the manufacturing ladder are development policy goals shared by most middle-income countries. What happens when a large economy with active industrial policy expands into sectoral niches occupied by middle-income trade partners? We build a multi-country, multi-sector general equilibrium model and perform counterfactual experiments assessing the effects of China’s human capital investments and industrial policies on trade, production, and factor returns elsewhere in the developing world. The model features skilled and unskilled labor as primary inputs as well as trade in intermediate goods. Simulation results suggest that China’s growth strategy may cause middle-income economies to lose global export shares in more skill-intensive sectors and to be pushed toward blue-collar and resource-based exports. The effects are especially notable in Southeast Asia. Skill premia fall, reducing incentives to invest in human capital. In the absence of policy responses, these trends might dim long-run development prospects. | |||||||||
| 言語 | en | |||||||||
| 権利 | ||||||||||
| 言語 | en | |||||||||
| 権利情報 | Copyrights 2024 by author(s) | |||||||||
| 収録情報 |
en : IDE Discussion Paper 巻 940, 発行日 2024-05 |
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| 出版者 | ||||||||||
| 出版者 | Institute of Developing Economies (IDE-JETRO) | |||||||||
| 著者版フラグ | ||||||||||
| 出版タイプ | VoR | |||||||||
| 出版タイプResource | http://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85 | |||||||||
| JEL分類 | ||||||||||
| 主題 | JEL:F11 - Neoclassical Models of Trade | |||||||||
| JEL分類 | ||||||||||
| 主題 | JEL:F16 - Trade and Labor Market Interactions | |||||||||
| JEL分類 | ||||||||||
| 主題 | JEL:F17 - Trade Forecasting and Simulation | |||||||||
| JEL分類 | ||||||||||
| 主題 | JEL:O14 - Industrialization • Manufacturing and Service Industries • Choice of Technology | |||||||||
| JEL分類 | ||||||||||
| 主題 | JEL:O53 - Asia including Middle East | |||||||||
| 地域/国名 | ||||||||||
| 位置情報（自由記述） | Southeast Asia | |||||||||
| フォーマット | ||||||||||
| 内容記述タイプ | Other | |||||||||
| 内容記述 | application/pdf | |||||||||
| 言語 | en | |||||||||
| DIG_NO | ||||||||||
| 内容記述タイプ | Other | |||||||||
| 内容記述 | IDP000940_001 | |||||||||
