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Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/2344/531

タイトル: Is It Worthwhile for Indonesia to Rush into a Free Trade Deal with Japan?
著者: Oyamada, Kazuhiko
小山田, 和彦
キーワード: Applied general equilibrium
Economic growth
Forward-looking
Free trade agreement
Interregional capital flows
International trade
International agreements
Trade policy
Indonesia
Japan
応用一般均衡
経済成長
前向きの
自由貿易協定
地域間資本移動
貿易
国際協定
貿易政策
インドネシア
日本
Issue Date: Mar-2007
出版者: Institute of Developing Economies, JETRO
引用: IDE Discussion Paper. No. 92. 2007.3
抄録: This report represents a preliminary attempt to refine some basic ideas on the potential impact Indonesia might experience from a free trade arrangement with Japan, using a forward-looking, multi-regional, multi-sectoral applied general equilibrium model of global trade to capture growth effects through capital accumulation paying attention to the changes in the patterns of interregional capital flows that might happen even before the policy change occurs. The simulation results revealed that the welfare gains of rushing into trade liberalization with Japan are not so large. This makes out that taking time over negotiations might be the best choice for Indonesia if the government places priority on convincing the Indonesian people that a free trade deal with Japan will definitely bring positive effects, while proceeding rapidly might be the answer if the country is serious about recovering the welfare levels that might be lowered by free trade arrangements among Malaysia, the Philippines, and Japan.
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/2344/531
Appears in Collections:04.IDE Discussion Paper
01.経済、産業(Economy and Industry)/東南アジア(Southeast Asian Studies)

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