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Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/2344/160

タイトル: Retrospective Voting in Turkey: Macro and Micro Perspectives
著者: Hazama, Yasushi
間, 寧
キーワード: Retrospective voting
Elections
Turkey
選挙
トルコ
Issue Date: Jan-2006
出版者: Institute of Developing Economies, JETRO
引用: IDE Discussion Paper. No. 46. 2006.1
抄録: Recent studies have shown that party systems in emerging democracies do not always adequately reflect the various cleavages of society. Under such circumstances, retrospective voting may play a more important role than cleavage voting in determining electoral outcomes. For studies of retrospective voting, the choice between macro and micro level as the independent variable is a major methodological issue. Using individual-level data on Turkey, this paper addresses two major questions: (1) Are voters' decisions based on household economic conditions or national economic conditions? Do sociopolitical conditions also count? (2) Does the future evaluation of the economy affect voting decisions apart from past evaluation? Logit models are used in this research to answer these questions.
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/2344/160
Appears in Collections:04.IDE Discussion Paper
02.政治、国際関係(Politics,International Relationship)/中東・北アフリカ(Middle Eastern and North African Studies)

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