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Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/2344/110

タイトル: Social cleavages and electoral support in Turkey -- toward convergence?
著者: Hazama, Yasushi
間, 寧
キーワード: Turkey
Electoral systems
Social structure
Issue Date: Sep-2003
出版者: Institute of Developing Economies, JETRO
引用: The Developing Economies 41.3 (2003.9): 362-387
抄録: Studies on Western democracies have shown that deep-seated social cleavages stabilize the electoral behavior and thus reduce electoral volatility. But how do social cleavages affect a party system that is undergoing democratic consolidation, such as in Turkey? In this study, investigations were carried out on long- and short-term relationships between social cleavages (religiosity, ethnicity, and sectarism) and electoral volatility in Turkey during the 1961-2002 period. Cross-sectional multiple regressions were applied to electoral and demographic data at the provincial level. The results showed that in the long-term, social cleavages on the whole have increased volatility rather than reduced it. The cleavage-volatility relationship, however, has changed over time. Repeated elections have mitigated the volatile effect of social cleavages on the voting behavior, as political parties have become more representative of the existent social cleavages.
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/2344/110
Appears in Collections:02.政治、国際関係(Politics,International Relationship)/中東・北アフリカ(Middle Eastern and North African Studies)
03.The Developing Economies

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