This study investigates how the extent of COVID-19 damage affected China’s province-level trade with foreign countries and reports the heterogeneous effects of these damages. Using monthly trade data for January–August 2019 and 2020 and the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases, in a gravity equation, we measure the damage extent on exports and imports separately. The results show that a provincial rise in the confirmed cases decreases exports and imports, especially until March. The larger negative effects of COVID-19 are more prominent on the processing than ordinary trade; these effects are smaller in provinces with a larger number of deaths during the severe acute respiratory syndrome outbreak. However, urbanization and mobile phone diffusion exhibit a potential to mitigate these effects on trade.
権利
Copyrights 2020 by author(s)
雑誌名
IDE Discussion Paper
雑誌名(英)
IDE Discussion Paper
巻
803
発行年
2020-12
出版者
Institute of Developing Economies (IDE-JETRO)
著者版フラグ
publisher
JEL分類
JEL:F15 - Economic Integration
JEL:F61 - Microeconomic Impacts
JEL:I18 - Government Policy • Regulation • Public Health
Heterogeneous impacts of COVID-19 on trade : evidence from China's province-level data
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